Foreclosures Are Back in the Headlines — But This Isn’t 2008
If you’ve been scrolling through real estate news lately, you’ve probably seen the word foreclosure popping up more and more. For many, it brings back uneasy memories of 2008 — a time when the housing market crashed, home values plummeted, and millions of Americans lost their homes.
But here’s the truth: what’s happening in 2025 is very different.
Yes, foreclosures are rising slightly — and that’s getting attention. But the numbers, context, and causes are nothing like what we saw during the last housing crisis.
In my blog post a couple of weeks ago, we talked about recession fears and why a market crash in 2025 is unlikely. This week, I want to dig into the foreclosure conversation: what the numbers really show, why we’re not headed for a repeat of 2008, and what buyers and sellers need to know right now.
What the 2025 Foreclosure Data Actually Shows
Foreclosure activity has ticked up in 2025 — but let’s put that into perspective.
According to an April report from ATTOM data solutions (a leading provider of comprehensive real estate data), foreclosure filings (including default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions) are up about 10–15% compared to 2024. That sounds significant until you consider this:
Foreclosure activity is still more than 40% below pre-2008 levels, and well within the range of a normal, rebalancing market.
In other words, we’re seeing a correction, not a crisis.
Much of the increase is due to:
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The end of pandemic-era forbearance programs, which delayed some inevitable foreclosures.
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A return to more typical delinquency cycles, after several years of historically low rates and stimulus support.
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Economic pressure from inflation and job turnover, especially in certain industries — not mass mortgage defaults.
So while the uptick is real, it’s NOT a red flag. It’s more of a market normalization, and one that experts have been predicting for some time.
Why 2025 Is Not 2008
With foreclosure numbers rising, it’s easy to assume we’re on the verge of another housing collapse. But here’s the key takeaway: 2025 is not 2008 — and the reasons are crystal clear.
Let’s break down what made the 2008 housing crash so devastating:
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Loose lending practices: Back then, banks handed out risky loans to unqualified buyers—many with little to no documentation of income.
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Subprime mortgages and ARMs: Adjustable-rate mortgages ballooned monthly payments, and many homeowners defaulted as soon as rates adjusted.
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Overleveraged homeowners: People were buying more home than they could afford, often with little to no equity in their properties.
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A massive inventory glut: When the market turned, there were far too many homes and not enough buyers.
Now compare that to 2025:
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Lending is much stricter. Buyers today go through a far more rigorous approval process, and most have solid credit profiles and verified income.
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Most homeowners have equity. Thanks to strong appreciation in the past few years, many homeowners have equity cushions that protect them even if prices soften.
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Fixed-rate loans are the norm. Unlike the risky ARMs of the past, the majority of homeowners now have low, fixed-rate mortgages they can afford.
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Inventory is still tight. In many markets, there still aren't enough homes to meet demand — even with the market cooling slightly.
So while foreclosure headlines can sound alarming, the underlying market fundamentals are far stronger today. We’re not seeing panic selling or a flood of distressed properties.
Instead, what we’re seeing is a healthy normalization — one that’s long overdue after several years of overheated market activity. Cooling price growth, fewer bidding wars, and more stable demand are all signs that the housing market is finding its balance again.
And when the housing market begins to normalize, it often reflects a broader economic trend — sometimes even signaling the early stages of a slowdown or recession.
As I discussed in a recent post, when the economy slows, the Federal Reserve often responds by lowering interest rates to encourage borrowing and stimulate growth. So in that context, the recent uptick in foreclosures may not point to a crash — but instead, could be another sign that a recession may be on the horizon.
What Does All of This Mean for Buyers and Sellers in Connecticut?
With foreclosures inching up and the market shifting, many in Connecticut are asking: Is now the right time to make a move—or should I wait?
Let’s break it down based on what’s happening right here in our state:
For Buyers in Connecticut: The Market Is More Balanced
After years of intense competition, the Connecticut housing market is beginning to stabilize.
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Fewer bidding wars: In many towns—from Hartford County to Fairfield—buyers are seeing less urgency and more room to negotiate. Prices have flattened or posted modest gains so far this year.
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Increased inventory: Some areas are experiencing a slight uptick in listings, giving buyers more choices than they’ve had in recent years. Active listings are slightly up from last year.
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Potential for better rates: If a recession develops, mortgage rates may ease later in the year—especially helpful in high-price towns like Westport or Greenwich.
Still, it’s important to be proactive:
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Get pre-approved before touring homes.
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Know your numbers and aim for long-term affordability and stability.
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Be open to exploring nearby towns or up-and-coming neighborhoods that may offer more value.
For Connecticut Sellers: Pricing and Presentation Are Everything
While homes in desirable areas are still moving, buyers are more selective in today’s market—and that’s especially true in Connecticut’s higher-cost regions.
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Price with precision. Towns are seeing longer days on market when homes are overpriced, even slightly.
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Showcase value. Highlight energy-efficient upgrades, finished basements, or proximity to commuter lines—features that appeal to today’s CT buyer.
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Leverage strong marketing. With buyer traffic shifting more online, high-quality listing photos, video tours, and local promotion make a big difference.
If you’ve built up equity over the last few years, you’re still in a good position—you just need the right strategy to stay competitive in this new market climate.
So, while the recent uptick in foreclosure headlines might stir up old anxieties, remember that the story of the 2025 housing market is a far cry from the crisis of 2008.
What we're observing is a natural re-calibration, a return to more sustainable levels after an unprecedented period. For those of you in Connecticut, this shift presents both opportunities and considerations.
Buyers are gaining a bit more breathing room and negotiating power, while sellers need to be strategic with pricing and presentation to capture the attention of a more discerning market.
Ultimately, understanding the nuances of our local market, staying informed, and working with experienced professionals will be key to navigating the evolving real estate landscape here in Wethersfield and across Connecticut.
This isn't a moment for panic, but rather for informed decisions and a realistic perspective on the path ahead. Thinking about making a move? Let's talk!
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